UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Sao Paulo, Brazil
16 Nov 2019
Middleweight
VS
39%
Perez
61%
Turman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Turman
Turman holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Perez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Turman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Turman has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Perez
Turman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"+
Reach
72"
37
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Turman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.1
27.0
42.5
Performance Avg
33.2
52
Quality of Victory
33
39
Momentum Score
15
Perez
Turman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
15
6
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance6
10Clinch5
1Ground5
Perez
Turman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perez
Turman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
38
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Perez
Turman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Perez
Turman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perez
Turman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
PerezTurman
Strike Zones
Perez
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTurman
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the head (73% of attacks) — Turman absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Turman targets the head (94% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perez
RND
Turman
0/0R00/0
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Turman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Perez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dalcha LungiambulaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · KO · R1
Dricus Du PlessisRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · Sub · R2
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
Turman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jared GoodenRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Misha CirkunovRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08