UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
20 Mar 2021
Heavyweight
VS
97%
Tuivasa
3%
Hunsucker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:49
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tuivasa
Tuivasa is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tuivasa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Tuivasa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tuivasa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hunsucker has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tuivasa
Hunsucker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
33+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tuivasa
Hunsucker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
1.5
50.4
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
20
Momentum Score
0
Tuivasa
Hunsucker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
47%
9.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
0
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance2
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Tuivasa
Hunsucker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Tuivasa
Hunsucker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/25 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Tuivasa
Hunsucker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
0
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Tuivasa
Hunsucker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tuivasa
Hunsucker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TuivasaHunsucker
Strike Zones
Tuivasa
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedHunsucker
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (71% of attacks) — Hunsucker absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Hunsucker targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tuivasa
RND
Hunsucker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tuivasa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Hunsucker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Tuivasa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.7Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.6Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Sub · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Hunsucker · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Tyson PedroRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · KO · R1
Justin TafaRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03