UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Nov 2020
Bantamweight
VS
25%
Freitas
75%
Gravely
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Gd
Geraldo de Freitas
"Spartan"
12 – 6
5'7"72" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 11
TG
Tony Gravely
23 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'5"
CFR 33

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gravely

Gravely is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gravely has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Freitas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gravely has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Freitas
Gravely
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
72"+
Reach
69"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Freitas
Gravely
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.3
33.2
28.3
Performance Avg
44.8
25
Quality of Victory
41
33
Momentum Score
35
Freitas
Gravely
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.3
54%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
17
8
Body
4
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
42Distance16
2Clinch4
0Ground4
Freitas
Gravely
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Freitas
Gravely
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Freitas
Gravely
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Freitas
Gravely
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Freitas
Gravely
Striking0.7 / 6.0Volume8.7 / 5.0Grappling2.4 / 1.2Wrestling1.7 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Freitas
Strike Zones
Gravely
Freitas
Attacking
36HEAD8BODY0LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD4BODY3LEGS24 absorbed
Gravely
Attacking
17HEAD4BODY3LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
36HEAD8BODY0LEGS44 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Freitas targets the head (82% of attacks) — Gravely absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Gravely targets the head (71% of attacks) — Freitas absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Freitas
RND
Gravely
0/0R00/0

Freitas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W6.0L5.5L2019-022019-082020-11
WinLossTrend

Gravely · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.0L4.5W5.2W3.9L4.5W5.0W5.9L6.4L2020-012021-042022-012022-092023-03
WinLossTrend

Freitas · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Tony GravelyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Felipe ColaresRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Gravely · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Javid BasharatRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Johnny MunozRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Saimon OliveiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
L · KO · R2
Nate ManessRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

News & Media

Geraldo de Freitas · Tony Gravely
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