METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Sept 2020
Flyweight
VS
50%
Kara-France
50%
Royval
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:48
★ Official Result
Brandon RoyvalwinsSubmissionR2 · 0:48
def. Kai Kara-France · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kara-France
→
Actual result
Royval wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kara-France at 50% vs Royval at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Kara-France's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Royval has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Kara-FranceRoyval
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kara-France
Royval
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'9"
69"+
Reach
68"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kara-France
Royval
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
52.7
47.5
Performance Avg
50.5
38
Quality of Victory
43
80
Momentum Score
65
Kara-France
Royval
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
6.2
6.2
Style: Volume
4.2
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
4
0
Body
2
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kara-France
Royval
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kara-France
Royval
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/37 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Kara-France
Royval
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
65
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Kara-France
Royval
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
63%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kara-France
Royval
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Kara-FranceRoyval
Strike Zones
Kara-France
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedRoyval
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kara-France targets the head (67% of attacks) — Royval absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Royval targets the head (50% of attacks) — Kara-France absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kara-France
RND
Royval
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Kara-France · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Alexandre PantojaSubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Steve ErcegKO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Amir AlbaziDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · KO · R3
Brandon MorenoKO/TKO
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
Royval · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Lone'er KavanaghSubmission
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Manel KapeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Tatsuro TairaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02