★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 40: Vendetta
Las Vegas, USA
22 Nov 2002
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Ortiz
52%
Shamrock
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 5:00
KS
Ken Shamrock
"The World's Most Dangerous Man"
28 – 17
Pressure Fighter3-fight slide62 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'1"
CFR 22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shamrock
This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 48% vs Shamrock at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Shamrock has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Ortiz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ortiz's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Shamrock has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ortiz
Shamrock
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
74"+
Reach
72"
51+
Age
62
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Shamrock
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
22.2
57.3
Performance Avg
64.6
57
Quality of Victory
71
85
Momentum Score
65
Ortiz
Shamrock
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
3
2
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance3
12Clinch2
2Ground0
Ortiz
Shamrock
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
2
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ortiz
Shamrock
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/31 fights
Chin rating based on
13/45 fights
Ortiz
Shamrock
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Ortiz
Shamrock
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortiz
Shamrock
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.6
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
OrtizShamrock
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedShamrock
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (88% of attacks) — Shamrock absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Shamrock targets the head (60% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortiz
RND
Shamrock
0/0R00/0
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Shamrock · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Shamrock · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tito OrtizRating 1.5KO/TKO
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10
L · KO · R1
Tito OrtizRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 61: Bitter Rivals · 2006-07
L · KO · R1
Rich FranklinRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale · 2005-04
W · KO · R1
Kimo LeopoldoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06
L · KO · R3
Tito OrtizRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 40: Vendetta · 2002-11