METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Nov 2016
Heavyweight
VS
89%
Henrique
11%
Colombo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:12
★ Official Result
Luis HenriquewinsSubmissionR3 · 2:12
def. Christian Colombo · UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Henrique
→
Actual result
Henrique wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Henrique is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Henrique has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Colombo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Henrique's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HenriqueColombo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Henrique
Colombo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
74"
Reach
32+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Henrique
Colombo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
2.1
41.7
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Henrique
Colombo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Henrique
Colombo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Henrique
Colombo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Henrique
Colombo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
Henrique
Colombo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henrique
Colombo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HenriqueColombo
Strike Zones
Henrique
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedColombo
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henrique targets the head (67% of attacks) — Colombo absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henrique
RND
Colombo
0/0R00/0
Henrique · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Colombo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Henrique · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan SpannRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Arjan BhullarRating 5.5Decision
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · KO · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
W · Sub · R3
Christian ColomboRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Dmitrii SmoliakovRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
Colombo · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Marcelo GolmRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Sub · R3
Luis HenriqueRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Upcoming
Jarjis DanhoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09