METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Nov 2016
Heavyweight
VS
89%
Henrique
11%
Colombo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:12
★ Official Result
Luis HenriquewinsSubmissionR3 · 2:12
def. Christian Colombo · UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Henrique
→
Actual result
Henrique wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Henrique is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Henrique has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Risk flags
Henrique's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HenriqueColombo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Henrique
Colombo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
74"
Reach
33+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Henrique
Colombo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
2.1
41.7
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Henrique
Colombo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.7
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Henrique
Colombo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Henrique
Colombo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Henrique
Colombo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Upcoming
Henrique
Colombo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henrique
Colombo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HenriqueColombo
Strike Zones
Henrique
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedColombo
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henrique targets the head (67% of attacks) — Colombo absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henrique
RND
Colombo
0/0R00/0
Henrique · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan SpannDecision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Arjan BhullarDecision
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · KO · R3
Marcin TyburaKO/TKO
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
W · Sub · R3
Christian ColomboSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Dmitrii SmoliakovSubmission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
Colombo · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Marcelo GolmSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Sub · R3
Luis HenriqueSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Upcoming
Jarjis DanhoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09