UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Chicago, USA
23 Jul 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
37%
Holm
63%
Shevchenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shevchenko
Shevchenko holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Holm has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Shevchenko has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Holm's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holm
Shevchenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
66"
44
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Holm
Shevchenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
62.2
46.5
Performance Avg
66.5
42
Quality of Victory
55
30
Momentum Score
53
Holm
Shevchenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
58%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
15
4
Body
0
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
15Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Holm
Shevchenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holm
Shevchenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Holm
Shevchenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
53
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Holm
Shevchenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holm
Shevchenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
HolmShevchenko
Strike Zones
Holm
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedShevchenko
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holm targets the head (47% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (71% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holm
RND
Shevchenko
0/0R00/0
Holm · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Shevchenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Holm · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.9Submission
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