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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
Chicago, USA
23 Jul 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
37%
Holm
63%
Shevchenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Holly
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
157
5'8"69" reachSouthpaw44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Valentina
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
264
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak38 yrsSouthpaw66" reach5'5"
CFR 62
★ Official Result
Valentina ShevchenkowinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Holly Holm · UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Shevchenko
Actual result
Shevchenko wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

Shevchenko holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Holm has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Holm's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HolmShevchenko
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Holm
Shevchenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
66"
44
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Holm
Shevchenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
62.2
46.5
Performance Avg
66.5
42
Quality of Victory
55
30
Momentum Score
53
Holm
Shevchenko
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
3.4
Style: Pressure
5.3
7.1
Style: Volume
6.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
15
4
Body
0
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
15Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Holm
Shevchenko
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holm
Shevchenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Holm
Shevchenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
53
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Holm
Shevchenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holm
Shevchenko
Striking3.6 / 4.3Volume7.1 / 6.5Grappling1.8 / 2.5Wrestling1.3 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure3.4 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Holm
Strike Zones
Shevchenko
Holm
Attacking
7HEAD4BODY4LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY6LEGS21 absorbed
Shevchenko
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY6LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD4BODY4LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holm targets the head (47% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (71% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holm
RND
Shevchenko
0/0R00/0

Holm · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Kayla Harrison
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Upcoming
Mayra Bueno Silva
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Yana Santos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen Vieira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R5
Irene Aldana
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10

Shevchenko · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Zhang Weili
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Manon Fiorot
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Alexa Grasso
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Alexa Grasso
Decision
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · Sub · R4
Alexa Grasso
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

News & Media

Holly Holm · Valentina Shevchenko
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