UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar
Las Vegas, USA
15 Nov 2008
Lightweight
VS
54%
Stephens
46%
Anjos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:39
Jeremy
Jeremy Stephens
"Lil' Heathen"
29 – 23
5'9"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs7-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Stephens

This is a genuine toss-up — Stephens at 54% vs Anjos at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Stephens throws more volume but Anjos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Stephens's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anjos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Stephens
Anjos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
70"
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Stephens
Anjos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.0
38.8
41.1
Performance Avg
47.7
40
Quality of Victory
41
76
Momentum Score
49
Stephens
Anjos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Stephens
Anjos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stephens
Anjos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/52 fights
Chin rating based on
36/49 fights
Stephens
Anjos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
49
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Stephens
Anjos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
43%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
5
8
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stephens
Anjos
Striking5.5 / 3.1Volume4.6 / 5.7Grappling1.1 / 3.3Wrestling0.8 / 2.3Submission0.0 / 2.4Pressure4.5 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.4
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Stephens
Strike Zones
Anjos
Stephens
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Anjos
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stephens targets the head (83% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Anjos targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stephens
RND
Anjos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Stephens · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L4.5W5.2W5.5L5.7W2.8L5.5L4.0W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W6.0L6.9L5.5W6.6L4.5W5.5L6.3L4.5W6.9W5.2W2.0L5.5L7.1L3.2L2.6L6.5L2.2L2007-052010-092014-062018-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Stephens · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
King GreenRating 2.2
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz GamrotRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Calvin KattarRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

News & Media

Jeremy Stephens · Rafael Dos Anjos
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