★ Championship Bout · Women's Flyweight
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Montreal, Canada
10 May 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
48%
Shevchenko
52%
Fiorot
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fiorot
This is a genuine toss-up — Shevchenko at 48% vs Fiorot at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Fiorot throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
66"+
Reach
65"
38
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.2
67.2
66.5
Performance Avg
59.6
55
Quality of Victory
40
53
Momentum Score
100
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.0
58%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
6
2
Body
10
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance11
1Clinch7
0Ground0
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
100
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
38%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
ShevchenkoFiorot
Strike Zones
Shevchenko
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedFiorot
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (80% of attacks) — Fiorot absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Fiorot targets the body (56% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shevchenko
RND
Fiorot
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Shevchenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Fiorot · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Shevchenko · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 6.3Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Manon FiorotRating 6.1Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Alexa GrassoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · Sub · R4
Alexa GrassoRating 4.6Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
Fiorot · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 4.8Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

