★ Championship Bout · Women's Flyweight
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
Montreal, Canada
10 May 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
48%
Shevchenko
52%
Fiorot
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Valentina
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
264
5'5"66" reachSouthpaw38 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 62
Manon
Manon Fiorot
"The Beast"
132
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'7"
CFR 67

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fiorot

This is a genuine toss-up — Shevchenko at 48% vs Fiorot at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Fiorot throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Shevchenko
Fiorot
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
66"+
Reach
65"
38
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.2
67.2
66.5
Performance Avg
59.6
55
Quality of Victory
40
53
Momentum Score
100
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.0
58%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
6
2
Body
10
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance11
1Clinch7
0Ground0
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
100
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Shevchenko
Fiorot
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
38%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shevchenko
Fiorot
Striking4.3 / 5.5Volume6.5 / 6.8Grappling2.5 / 1.5Wrestling1.8 / 1.1Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Shevchenko
Strike Zones
Fiorot
Shevchenko
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD10BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Fiorot
Attacking
6HEAD10BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (80% of attacks) — Fiorot absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Fiorot targets the body (56% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shevchenko
RND
Fiorot
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Shevchenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W6.7L4.6W6.7W6.7L6.2W4.5W5.1W4.5W5.6W4.5W5.9W6.2W4.7W4.6L5.7W6.1W6.3W2015-122018-022020-112024-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Fiorot · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.2W5.9W5.1W4.5W4.8W5.9W6.0W6.9L5.9W2021-012022-032024-032025-10
WinLossTrend

Shevchenko · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Manon FiorotRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Alexa Grasso
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · Sub · R4
Alexa GrassoRating 4.6
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Fiorot · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

News & Media

Valentina Shevchenko · Manon Fiorot
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