UFC 29: Defense of the Belts
Tokyo, Japan
16 Dec 2000
Middleweight
VS
52%
Liddell
48%
Monson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Liddell
This is a genuine toss-up — Liddell at 52% vs Monson at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Liddell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Liddell throws more volume but Monson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Liddell's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Liddell
Monson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
74"
56
Age
+55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Liddell
Monson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.1
20.2
61.2
Performance Avg
47.8
56
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
89
Liddell
Monson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
48%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
4
Body
0
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance1
1Clinch0
6Ground0
Liddell
Monson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Liddell
Monson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/29 fights
Chin rating based on
7/86 fights
Liddell
Monson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
89
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Liddell
Monson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
50%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Liddell
Monson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
LiddellMonson
Strike Zones
Liddell
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMonson
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Liddell targets the legs (42% of attacks) — Monson absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Monson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Liddell absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Liddell
RND
Monson
0/0R00/0
Liddell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Monson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Liddell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Rich FranklinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
W · Dec · R3
Wanderlei SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · Dec · R3
Keith JardineRating 5.5Decision
UFC 76: Knockout · 2007-09
Monson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Tim SylviaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 65: Bad Intentions · 2006-11
W · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 61: Bitter Rivals · 2006-07
W · Dec · R3
Marcio CruzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
W · Sub · R1
Branden Lee HinkleRating 5Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · KO · R3
Ricco RodriguezRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01