METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jul 2024
Lightweight
VS
85%
Holobaugh
15%
Kruschewsky
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kurt HolobaughwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kaynan Kruschewsky · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holobaugh
→
Actual result
Holobaugh wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Holobaugh is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holobaugh has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Risk flags
Holobaugh's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HolobaughKruschewsky
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holobaugh
Kruschewsky
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+73"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holobaugh
Kruschewsky
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.1
5.5
31.2
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
20
Momentum Score
0
Holobaugh
Kruschewsky
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.4
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
18
8
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance12
5Clinch2
0Ground8
Holobaugh
Kruschewsky
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holobaugh
Kruschewsky
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/32 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Holobaugh
Kruschewsky
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Holobaugh
Kruschewsky
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holobaugh
Kruschewsky
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HolobaughKruschewsky
Strike Zones
Holobaugh
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedKruschewsky
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holobaugh targets the head (50% of attacks) — Kruschewsky absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Kruschewsky targets the head (82% of attacks) — Holobaugh absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holobaugh
RND
Kruschewsky
0/0R00/0
Holobaugh · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jordan LeavittSubmission
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Alexander HernandezDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Kaynan KruschewskyDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Trey OgdenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Sub · R2
Austin HubbardSubmission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Kruschewsky · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Elves BrenerKO/TKO
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