METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
New York City, USA
12 Nov 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
53%
Tate
47%
Pennington
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Raquel PenningtonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Miesha Tate · UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tate
→
Actual result
Pennington wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tate at 53% vs Pennington at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Tate's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pennington has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TatePennington
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tate
Pennington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+67"
40
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tate
Pennington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
46.8
42.5
Performance Avg
46.8
38
Quality of Victory
32
94
Momentum Score
80
Tate
Pennington
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
3.7
5.6
Style: Volume
7.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
8
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground11
Tate
Pennington
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
2.3
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tate
Pennington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
68
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Tate
Pennington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
80
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Tate
Pennington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
23%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tate
Pennington
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
TatePennington
Strike Zones
Tate
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedPennington
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tate targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Pennington targets the head (73% of attacks) — Tate absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tate
RND
Pennington
0/0R00/0
Tate · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R3
Julia AvilaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · KO · R3
Marion ReneauKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Mayra Bueno SilvaDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddDecision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12