METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Jun 2017
Featherweight
VS
44%
Aldo
56%
Holloway
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:13
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:13
def. Jose Aldo · UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Aldo at 44% vs Holloway at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holloway has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AldoHolloway
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aldo
Holloway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
70"+
Reach
69"
40
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldo
Holloway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
56.9
53.6
Performance Avg
57.7
49
Quality of Victory
48
40
Momentum Score
63
Aldo
Holloway
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
6.0
6.9
Style: Volume
4.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
59
2
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance21
1Clinch2
0Ground41
Aldo
Holloway
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldo
Holloway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
33/36 fights
Aldo
Holloway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Aldo
Holloway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
54%
4
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldo
Holloway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
AldoHolloway
Strike Zones
Aldo
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
64 absorbedHolloway
Attacking
64 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the head (71% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Holloway targets the head (92% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldo
RND
Holloway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Aldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
Holloway · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04