UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Los Angeles, USA
29 Dec 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
63%
Latifi
37%
Anderson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Latifi
Latifi holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Anderson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Anderson throws more volume but Latifi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Latifi's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Anderson has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Latifi
Anderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+79"
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Latifi
Anderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.6
18.8
48.4
Performance Avg
50.1
43
Quality of Victory
39
33
Momentum Score
98
Latifi
Anderson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
14
1
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance16
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Latifi
Anderson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.8
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Latifi
Anderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
15/19 fights
Latifi
Anderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
98
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Latifi
Anderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
30%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Latifi
Anderson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
LatifiAnderson
Strike Zones
Latifi
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedAnderson
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Latifi targets the head (70% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Anderson targets the head (82% of attacks) — Latifi absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Latifi
RND
Anderson
0/0R00/0
Latifi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Anderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Latifi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
Anderson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04