METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Anaheim, USA
12 Nov 2011
Bantamweight
VS
95%
Caceres
5%
Escovedo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alex CacereswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cole Escovedo · UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Caceres
→
Actual result
Caceres wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Caceres is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Caceres has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Risk flags
Caceres's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CaceresEscovedo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Caceres
Escovedo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
72"
38+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Caceres
Escovedo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
2.1
42.2
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
76
Momentum Score
0
Caceres
Escovedo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.1
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
5
Body
4
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
21Distance8
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Caceres
Escovedo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Caceres
Escovedo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/36 fights
Chin rating based on
3/26 fights
Caceres
Escovedo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Caceres
Escovedo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Caceres
Escovedo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CaceresEscovedo
Strike Zones
Caceres
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedEscovedo
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Caceres targets the head (59% of attacks) — Escovedo absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Escovedo targets the body (50% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Caceres
RND
Escovedo
0/0R00/0
Caceres · Last 5
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