UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2021
Bantamweight
VS
72%
Sandhagen
28%
Edgar
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sandhagen
Sandhagen is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Edgar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Edgar has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sandhagen
Edgar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
34+
Age
44
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Sandhagen
Edgar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.2
25.4
53.8
Performance Avg
48.0
44
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
68
Sandhagen
Edgar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sandhagen
Edgar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sandhagen
Edgar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
0
Never stopped
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Sandhagen
Edgar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
68
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Sandhagen
Edgar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sandhagen
Edgar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
SandhagenEdgar
Strike Zones
Sandhagen
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedEdgar
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sandhagen targets the head (50% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Edgar targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sandhagen absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sandhagen
RND
Edgar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sandhagen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Edgar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Sandhagen · Last 5
Upcoming
Mario BautistaUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
Edgar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
