METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2026
Featherweight
VS
89%
Collins
11%
Tanzilovi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Shane CollinswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Otari Tanzilovi · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Collins
→
Actual result
Collins wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Collins is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Collins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CollinsTanzilovi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Collins
Tanzilovi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
26+
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Collins
Tanzilovi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.8
7.8
55.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Collins
Tanzilovi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
10.0
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
16
9
Body
5
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance15
7Clinch7
0Ground0
Collins
Tanzilovi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Collins
Tanzilovi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/8 fights
Chin rating based on
1/12 fights
Collins
Tanzilovi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Collins
Tanzilovi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Collins
Tanzilovi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
10.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CollinsTanzilovi
Strike Zones
Collins
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTanzilovi
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Collins targets the head (66% of attacks) — Tanzilovi absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Tanzilovi targets the head (73% of attacks) — Collins absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Collins
RND
Tanzilovi
0/0R00/0
Collins · Last 1
W · Dec · R3
Otari TanziloviDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
Tanzilovi · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Shane CollinsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06