UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov
Las Vegas, USA
14 Jan 2023
Featherweight
VS
83%
Argueta
17%
Aguirre
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DA
Dan Argueta
"The Determined"
9 – 3
5'7"68" reachSouthpaw32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
NA
Nick Aguirre
"Slick"
7 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide30 yrsSouthpaw74" reach5'9"
CFR 5

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Argueta

Argueta is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Argueta has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Argueta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Argueta
Aguirre
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+74"
32
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Argueta
Aguirre
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.7
5.2
25.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Argueta
Aguirre
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.2
42%
Strike Accuracy
19%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
4
2
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance4
4Clinch0
6Ground0
Argueta
Aguirre
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Argueta
Aguirre
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Argueta
Aguirre
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Argueta
Aguirre
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Argueta
Aguirre
Striking0.5 / 0.0Volume8.5 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Argueta
Strike Zones
Aguirre
Argueta
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Aguirre
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Argueta targets the head (76% of attacks) — Aguirre absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Aguirre targets the head (100% of attacks) — Argueta absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Argueta
RND
Aguirre
0/0R00/0

Argueta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.8L4.5W3.6L6.8L2022-062023-012024-042024-10
WinLossTrend

Aguirre · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5L2023-012023-11
WinLossTrend

Argueta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cody HaddonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Jean MatsumotoRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Upcoming
Miles Johns
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
Upcoming
Ronnie Lawrence
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Nick AguirreRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01

Aguirre · Last 2

L · Sub · R3
Payton TalbottRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan ArguetaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01

News & Media

Dan Argueta · Nick Aguirre
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