UFC 45: Revolution
Uncasville, USA
21 Nov 2003
Middleweight
VS
49%
Lindland
51%
Vitale
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:23
ML
Matt Lindland
"The Law"
22 – 9
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw56 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 21
FV
Falaniko Vitale
"Niko"
30 – 11
Knockout Artist51 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vitale

This is a genuine toss-up — Lindland at 49% vs Vitale at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Vitale has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Lindland has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lindland's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lindland
Vitale
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
56
Age
+51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lindland
Vitale
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
21.7
53.0
Performance Avg
56.0
38
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
59
Lindland
Vitale
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
30%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance0
2Clinch0
5Ground1
Lindland
Vitale
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lindland
Vitale
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/31 fights
Chin rating based on
2/41 fights
Lindland
Vitale
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Lindland
Vitale
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lindland
Vitale
Striking4.8 / 10.0Volume5.1 / 1.0Grappling2.0 / 0.0Wrestling1.4 / 0.0Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure5.4 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Lindland
Strike Zones
Vitale
Lindland
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Vitale
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lindland targets the head (88% of attacks) — Vitale absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Vitale targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Lindland absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lindland
RND
Vitale
0/0R00/0

Lindland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W2.8L4.5W4.5W1.5L5.5W1.5L5.2W4.5W2000-122002-032003-022004-082005-08
WinLossTrend

Vitale · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L2003-062003-11
WinLossTrend

Lindland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Joe DoerksenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Sub · R2
Travis LutterRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
L · KO · R1
David TerrellRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08
W · KO · R3
Falaniko VitaleRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
L · KO · R1
Falaniko VitaleRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06

Vitale · Last 2

L · KO · R3
Matt LindlandRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · KO · R1
Matt LindlandRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06

News & Media

Matt Lindland · Falaniko Vitale
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