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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 45: Revolution
Uncasville, USA
21 Nov 2003
Middleweight
VS
49%
Lindland
51%
Vitale
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:23
ML
Matt Lindland
"The Law"
229
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw56 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 21
FV
Falaniko Vitale
"Niko"
3011
Knockout Artist52 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Matt LindlandwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:23
def. Falaniko Vitale · UFC 45: Revolution

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Vitale
Actual result
Lindland wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Lindland at 49% vs Vitale at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Vitale has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

Risk flags

Lindland's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LindlandVitale
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Lindland
Vitale
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
56
Age
+52
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lindland
Vitale
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.9
21.7
53.0
Performance Avg
56.0
38
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
59
Lindland
Vitale
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
8.5
5.1
Style: Volume
1.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance0
2Clinch0
5Ground1
Lindland
Vitale
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lindland
Vitale
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
12/31 fights
Chin rating based on
2/41 fights
Lindland
Vitale
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Lindland
Vitale
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lindland
Vitale
Striking4.8 / 10.0Volume5.1 / 1.0Grappling2.0 / 0.0Wrestling1.4 / 0.0Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure5.4 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Lindland
Strike Zones
Vitale
Lindland
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Vitale
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lindland targets the head (88% of attacks) — Vitale absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Vitale targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Lindland absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lindland
RND
Vitale
0/0R00/0

Lindland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Joe Doerksen
Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Sub · R2
Travis Lutter
Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
L · KO · R1
David Terrell
KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08
W · KO · R3
Falaniko Vitale
KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
L · KO · R1
Falaniko Vitale
KO/TKO
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06

Vitale · Last 2

L · KO · R3
Matt Lindland
KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · KO · R1
Matt Lindland
KO/TKO
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06

News & Media

Matt Lindland · Falaniko Vitale
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