UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi
St. Louis, USA
14 Jan 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
21%
Taylor
79%
Aldrich
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aldrich
Aldrich is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aldrich has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Aldrich has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Taylor
Aldrich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'0"
Height
+5'5"
60"
Reach
+67"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Taylor
Aldrich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.3
47.4
31.0
Performance Avg
42.5
25
Quality of Victory
28
40
Momentum Score
80
Taylor
Aldrich
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
30%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
23
2
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance23
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Taylor
Aldrich
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Taylor
Aldrich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
58
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/13 fights
Chin rating based on
17/22 fights
Taylor
Aldrich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Taylor
Aldrich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
9%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Taylor
Aldrich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
TaylorAldrich
Strike Zones
Taylor
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedAldrich
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Taylor targets the head (71% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Aldrich targets the head (88% of attacks) — Taylor absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Taylor
RND
Aldrich
0/0R00/0
Taylor · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Aldrich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Taylor · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · Dec · R3
Jessica PenneRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Seo Hee HamRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
Aldrich · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · KO · R2
Liang NaRating 5.2KO/TKO
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