METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Uniondale, USA
22 Jul 2017
Featherweight
VS
65%
Burgos
35%
Pepey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Shane BurgoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Godofredo Pepey · UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Burgos
→
Actual result
Burgos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Burgos holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Pepey has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pepey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Burgos's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pepey has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurgosPepey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Burgos
Pepey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
75"+
Reach
73"
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burgos
Pepey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.9
16.9
50.0
Performance Avg
47.8
35
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
46
Burgos
Pepey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
7.0
6.5
Style: Volume
2.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
42
Head
12
4
Body
2
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
34Distance14
8Clinch1
8Ground0
Burgos
Pepey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
6.0
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burgos
Pepey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
28
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
11/19 fights
Burgos
Pepey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Burgos
Pepey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burgos
Pepey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
BurgosPepey
Strike Zones
Burgos
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedPepey
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burgos targets the head (84% of attacks) — Pepey absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Pepey targets the head (80% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burgos
RND
Pepey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
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