UFC 24: First Defense
Lake Charles, USA
10 Mar 2000
Heavyweight
VS
93%
Williams
7%
Judson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:23
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Williams
Williams is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Williams has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Striking split: Judson throws more volume but Williams connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Judson has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Williams
Judson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
56
Age
—
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Williams
Judson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.2
1.6
56.0
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Williams
Judson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
2.8
55%
Strike Accuracy
52%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
11
4
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
8Clinch14
0Ground0
Williams
Judson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Williams
Judson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/8 fights
Chin rating based on
2 fights
Williams
Judson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Williams
Judson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Williams
Judson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
WilliamsJudson
Strike Zones
Williams
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedJudson
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Williams targets the head (56% of attacks) — Judson absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Judson targets the head (79% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Williams
RND
Judson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Judson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Williams · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Ian FreemanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
W · KO · R1
Steve JudsonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 24: First Defense · 2000-03
Judson · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Tedd WilliamsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 24: First Defense · 2000-03
L · KO · R1
Brad KohlerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 22: Only One Can be Champion · 1999-09