METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Elmont, USA
16 Jul 2022
Middleweight
VS
38%
Grant
62%
Stoltzfus
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dustin StoltzfuswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dwight Grant · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stoltzfus
→
Actual result
Stoltzfus wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Stoltzfus holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Grant has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Grant's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stoltzfus has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GrantStoltzfus
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grant
Stoltzfus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
75"
41
Age
+34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Grant
Stoltzfus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.2
37.1
37.0
Performance Avg
42.1
37
Quality of Victory
46
59
Momentum Score
10
Grant
Stoltzfus
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
6.3
6.1
Style: Volume
2.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
1
Body
1
3
Leg
7
RangeRange
15Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Grant
Stoltzfus
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grant
Stoltzfus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
26
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/17 fights
Chin rating based on
11/24 fights
Grant
Stoltzfus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
10
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Grant
Stoltzfus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Stoltzfus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
GrantStoltzfus
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedStoltzfus
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the head (73% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Stoltzfus targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Stoltzfus
0/0R00/0
Grant · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Sergey KhandozhkoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Stefan SekulicDecision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · KO · R1
Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
Stoltzfus · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Mansur Abdul-MalikSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraKO/TKO
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