UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Sept 2020
Lightweight
VS
59%
Riddell
41%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BR
Brad Riddell
"Quake"
10 – 4
5'7"71" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
AD
Alex Da Silva
"Leko"
21 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'8"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Riddell

This is a genuine toss-up — Riddell at 59% vs Silva at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Riddell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Riddell's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Riddell
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
71"
Reach
+73"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Riddell
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
14.5
37.9
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
17
Riddell
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
19
5
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
32Distance21
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Riddell
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riddell
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/25 fights
Riddell
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
17
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Riddell
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Riddell
Silva
Striking1.1 / 0.5Volume9.1 / 8.5Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.7 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Riddell
Strike Zones
Silva
Riddell
Attacking
27HEAD5BODY3LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD5BODY3LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Riddell targets the head (77% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (83% of attacks) — Riddell absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Riddell
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Riddell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.7W4.5W4.5W5.7W5.0L2.7L2.3L2019-102020-092021-122022-11
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0102.8L4.5W5.5L6.2L2019-042019-082020-092022-06
WinLossTrend

Riddell · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 2.3
Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R3
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Drew DoberRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09

Silva · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Brad RiddellRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Kazula VargasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
L · Sub · R2
Alexander YakovlevRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

News & Media

Brad Riddell · Alex Da Silva
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