METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Sept 2020
Lightweight
VS
59%
Riddell
41%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brad RiddellwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alex Da Silva · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Riddell
→
Actual result
Riddell wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Riddell at 59% vs Silva at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Riddell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Riddell's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RiddellSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Riddell
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
71"
Reach
+73"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Riddell
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
14.5
37.9
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
17
Riddell
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
19
5
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
32Distance21
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Riddell
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riddell
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/25 fights
Riddell
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
17
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Riddell
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riddell
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
RiddellSilva
Strike Zones
Riddell
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedSilva
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riddell targets the head (77% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (83% of attacks) — Riddell absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riddell
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Riddell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Riddell · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 2.3Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R3
Rafael FizievRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Drew DoberRating 5.7Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
Silva · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Brad RiddellRating 5.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Kazula VargasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
L · Sub · R2
Alexander YakovlevRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04