METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Sept 2020
Lightweight
VS
59%
Riddell
41%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brad RiddellwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alex Da Silva · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Riddell
→
Actual result
Riddell wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Riddell at 59% vs Silva at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Riddell's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RiddellSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Riddell
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
71"
Reach
+73"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Riddell
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
14.5
37.9
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
17
Riddell
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.7
Style: Pressure
0.8
9.1
Style: Volume
8.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
19
5
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
32Distance21
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Riddell
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riddell
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/25 fights
Riddell
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
17
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Riddell
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riddell
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
RiddellSilva
Strike Zones
Riddell
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedSilva
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riddell targets the head (77% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (83% of attacks) — Riddell absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riddell
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Riddell · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R3
Rafael FizievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Drew DoberDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaDecision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
Silva · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Brad RiddellDecision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Kazula VargasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
L · Sub · R2
Alexander YakovlevSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04