METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2015
Flyweight
VS
37%
Seery
63%
Smolka
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Louis SmolkawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Neil Seery · UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smolka
→
Actual result
Smolka wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Smolka holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Seery has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smolka has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Smolka has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SeerySmolka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Seery
Smolka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'9"
64"
Reach
+68"
47
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Seery
Smolka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
26.6
37.0
Performance Avg
46.5
33
Quality of Victory
46
58
Momentum Score
60
Seery
Smolka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
5.9
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
6.7
6.2
Style: Volume
2.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
4
0
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
3Clinch4
0Ground1
Seery
Smolka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Seery
Smolka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
12
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/29 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Seery
Smolka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Seery
Smolka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Seery
Smolka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
SeerySmolka
Strike Zones
Seery
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedSmolka
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Seery targets the head (86% of attacks) — Smolka absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Smolka targets the head (50% of attacks) — Seery absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Seery
RND
Smolka
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Seery · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Alexandre PantojaSubmission
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W · Sub · R2
Jon Delos ReyesSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Louis SmolkaDecision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Chris BealDecision
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Smolka · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Davey GrantKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
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W · KO · R1
Ryan MacDonaldKO/TKO
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