UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Broomfield, USA
21 Mar 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Schafer
48%
Brilz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ES
Eric Schafer
"Red"
14 – 8
6'3"76" reachOrthodox48 yrs4-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 17
JB
Jason Brilz
"Hitman"
22 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Schafer

This is a genuine toss-up — Schafer at 52% vs Brilz at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Schafer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Schafer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Schafer's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brilz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Schafer
Brilz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
71"
48+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schafer
Brilz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
15.2
46.9
Performance Avg
38.1
56
Quality of Victory
35
33
Momentum Score
63
Schafer
Brilz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
25
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance20
0Clinch2
0Ground5
Schafer
Brilz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Schafer
Brilz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/22 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Schafer
Brilz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
63
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Schafer
Brilz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Schafer
Brilz
Striking4.0 / 4.2Volume0.7 / 6.2Grappling5.3 / 1.6Wrestling3.7 / 1.1Submission6.7 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Schafer
Strike Zones
Brilz
Schafer
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD2BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Brilz
Attacking
25HEAD2BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Schafer targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brilz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brilz targets the head (93% of attacks) — Schafer absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Schafer
RND
Brilz
0/0R00/0

Schafer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W1.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2.8L2006-082008-092010-032012-01
WinLossTrend

Brilz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L1.5L1.5L2008-092009-092010-052011-11
WinLossTrend

Schafer · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jorge RiveraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio MendesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01

Brilz · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09

News & Media

Eric Schafer · Jason Brilz
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