METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Broomfield, USA
21 Mar 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Schafer
48%
Brilz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jason BrilzwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Eric Schafer · UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Schafer
→
Actual result
Brilz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Schafer at 52% vs Brilz at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Schafer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Schafer's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brilz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SchaferBrilz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Schafer
Brilz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
71"
48+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schafer
Brilz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
15.2
46.9
Performance Avg
38.1
56
Quality of Victory
35
33
Momentum Score
63
Schafer
Brilz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
3.6
0.7
Style: Volume
6.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
25
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance20
0Clinch2
0Ground5
Schafer
Brilz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Schafer
Brilz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/22 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Schafer
Brilz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
63
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Schafer
Brilz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Schafer
Brilz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
SchaferBrilz
Strike Zones
Schafer
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedBrilz
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Schafer targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brilz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brilz targets the head (93% of attacks) — Schafer absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Schafer
RND
Brilz
0/0R00/0
Schafer · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jorge RiveraKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonDecision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzDecision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderDecision
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio MendesKO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
Brilz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderKO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Vladimir MatyushenkoKO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraDecision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferDecision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallDecision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09