★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Boston, USA
20 Jan 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
34%
Cormier
66%
Oezdemir
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oezdemir
Oezdemir holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Cormier has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cormier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Oezdemir throws more volume but Cormier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oezdemir has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cormier
Oezdemir
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+75"
47
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cormier
Oezdemir
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.9
50.6
68.1
Performance Avg
50.8
61
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
52
Cormier
Oezdemir
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
48%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Cormier
Oezdemir
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cormier
Oezdemir
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
36
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
16/29 fights
Cormier
Oezdemir
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Cormier
Oezdemir
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cormier
Oezdemir
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
CormierOezdemir
Strike Zones
Cormier
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedOezdemir
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cormier targets the head (100% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cormier absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cormier
RND
Oezdemir
0/0R00/0
Cormier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Oezdemir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Cormier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R4
Stipe MiocicRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3Submission
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
Oezdemir · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R1
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UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
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