UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
Copenhagen, Denmark
28 Sept 2019
Middleweight
VS
10%
Amedovski
90%
Phillips
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:17
AA
Alen Amedovski
8 – 4
5'10"74" reachOrthodox38 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
JP
John Phillips
"The Welsh Wrecking Machine"
22 – 11
Knockout Artist2-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw75" reach5'11"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Phillips

Phillips is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Phillips has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

Striking split: Amedovski throws more volume but Phillips connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Amedovski's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Phillips has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Amedovski
Phillips
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
74"
Reach
+75"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Amedovski
Phillips
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.8
16.7
0.0
Performance Avg
42.7
0
Quality of Victory
60
0
Momentum Score
33
Amedovski
Phillips
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.3
28%
Strike Accuracy
29%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Amedovski
Phillips
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Amedovski
Phillips
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
6/33 fights
Amedovski
Phillips
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
33
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Amedovski
Phillips
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Amedovski
Phillips
Striking0.0 / 10.0Volume0.0 / 0.3Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Amedovski
Strike Zones
Phillips
Amedovski
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Phillips
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Amedovski targets the head (100% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Phillips targets the head (80% of attacks) — Amedovski absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Amedovski
RND
Phillips
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Amedovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.0
0105.5L1.5L1.5L3.5L2019-042019-092022-052022-09
WinLossTrend

Phillips · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.6L5.5L5.0W4.7L6.6L2018-032018-112019-032019-092020-072020-10
WinLossTrend

Amedovski · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Joe PyferRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
L · Sub · R1
Joseph HolmesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
John PhillipsRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

Phillips · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Khamzat ChimaevRating 4.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
W · KO · R1
Alen AmedovskiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Jack MarshmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Sub · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11

News & Media

Alen Amedovski · John Phillips
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