UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Winnipeg, Canada
18 Apr 2026
Middleweight
VS
13%
Leblanc
87%
Valentin
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:22
Julien
Julien Leblanc
10 – 3
6'2"74" reachSouthpaw34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 7
RV
Robert Valentin
"Robzilla"
12 – 6
Submission Hunter31 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Valentin

Valentin is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Valentin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.

Leblanc has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Valentin has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Leblanc
Valentin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
74"
Reach
+77"
34
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Leblanc
Valentin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.0
47.3
0.0
Performance Avg
42.4
0
Quality of Victory
54
0
Momentum Score
36
Leblanc
Valentin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.9
67%
Strike Accuracy
56%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
2
Body
2
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Leblanc
Valentin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leblanc
Valentin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Leblanc
Valentin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
36
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Leblanc
Valentin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Leblanc
Valentin
Striking0.0 / 0.5Volume0.0 / 0.5Grappling0.0 / 8.0Wrestling0.0 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure0.0 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Leblanc
Strike Zones
Valentin
Leblanc
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY4LEGS7 absorbed
Valentin
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY4LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Leblanc targets the body (50% of attacks) — Valentin absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Valentin targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Leblanc absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Leblanc
RND
Valentin
0/0R00/0

Valentin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5L5.8L3.7L5.0W2024-082025-042025-072026-04
WinLossTrend

Leblanc · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Robert ValentinRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04

Valentin · Last 4

W · Sub · R1
Julien LeblancRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Ateba GautierRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Torrez FinneyRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ryan LoderRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

News & Media

Julien Leblanc · Robert Valentin
← Back to fights