UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
Utica, USA
1 Jun 2018
Women's Flyweight
VS
30%
Eubanks
70%
Murphy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SE
Sijara Eubanks
"SarJ"
8 – 7
5'4"67" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
Lauren
Lauren Murphy
"Lucky"
16 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Murphy

Murphy is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Eubanks has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Murphy has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Eubanks
Murphy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
67"
Reach
67"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Eubanks
Murphy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.4
51.7
39.2
Performance Avg
41.9
32
Quality of Victory
34
45
Momentum Score
87
Eubanks
Murphy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
9
3
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance12
0Clinch1
6Ground0
Eubanks
Murphy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Eubanks
Murphy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Eubanks
Murphy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
87
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Eubanks
Murphy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
38%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Eubanks
Murphy
Striking3.0 / 3.6Volume7.4 / 6.1Grappling1.9 / 2.5Wrestling1.3 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure2.9 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Eubanks
Strike Zones
Murphy
Eubanks
Attacking
27HEAD3BODY1LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Murphy
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD3BODY1LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Eubanks targets the head (87% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Murphy targets the head (69% of attacks) — Eubanks absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Eubanks
RND
Murphy
0/0R00/0

Eubanks · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.3W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.3W5.9L5.5L5.0W4.9L2018-062019-092020-092021-12
WinLossTrend

Murphy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5L5.5W5.8L4.5W5.5L5.5W4.9W4.5W5.2W4.7W4.7L5.4W6.3L6.3L2014-082017-122020-062022-072025-07
WinLossTrend

Eubanks · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Melissa GattoRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
W · KO · R1
Elise ReedRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Julia AvilaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09

Murphy · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06

News & Media

Sijara Eubanks · Lauren Murphy
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