UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee
Rochester, USA
18 May 2019
Middleweight
VS
45%
Junior
55%
Heinisch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AC
Antonio Carlos Junior
"Cara de Sapato"
11 – 5
6'2"79" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 19
IH
Ian Heinisch
"The Hurricane"
14 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Heinisch

This is a genuine toss-up — Junior at 45% vs Heinisch at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Junior has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Heinisch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Junior
Heinisch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
79"+
Reach
72"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Junior
Heinisch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
23.7
55.3
Performance Avg
39.1
53
Quality of Victory
37
41
Momentum Score
50
Junior
Heinisch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
15
1
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance7
0Clinch3
0Ground10
Junior
Heinisch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
6.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
4.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Junior
Heinisch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Junior
Heinisch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Junior
Heinisch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Junior
Heinisch
Striking1.2 / 4.2Volume3.5 / 6.2Grappling6.4 / 1.6Wrestling4.5 / 1.1Submission7.1 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
6.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
7.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Junior
Strike Zones
Heinisch
Junior
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD1BODY4LEGS20 absorbed
Heinisch
Attacking
15HEAD1BODY4LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Junior targets the head (75% of attacks) — Heinisch absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Heinisch targets the head (75% of attacks) — Junior absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Junior
RND
Heinisch
0/0R00/0

Junior · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5L5.5W4.0L5.5W5.3W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2014-052016-032017-062019-052021-01
WinLossTrend

Heinisch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.8L5.5L6.1W5.8L4.2L2018-112019-082020-062021-07
WinLossTrend

Junior · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Uriah HallRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Sub · R1
Tim BoetschRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · Sub · R1
Jack MarshmanRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10

Heinisch · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08

News & Media

Antonio Carlos Junior · Ian Heinisch
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