Antonio Carlos Junior vs Ian Heinisch — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee

Rochester, USA

18 May 2019

Middleweight

56%

Junior

44%

Heinisch

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Antonio Carlos Junior

"Cara de Sapato"

11 – 5

6'2"79" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter

CFR 19

Ian Heinisch

"The Hurricane"

14 – 5

Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"

CFR 15

★ Official Result

Ian HeinischwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Antonio Carlos Junior · UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Junior

→

Actual result

Heinisch wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Junior at 56% vs Heinisch at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Junior has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

JuniorHeinisch

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Junior

Heinisch

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"+

Height

5'11"

79"+

Reach

72"

36+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Junior

Heinisch

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

19.1

15.1

55.3

Performance Avg

39.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Junior

Heinisch

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.2

/ 10

4.2

/ 10

6.8

Style: Pressure

3.6

3.5

Style: Volume

6.2

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance7

0Clinch3

0Ground10

Junior

Heinisch

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.4

/ 10

1.6

/ 10

4.5

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.1

7.1

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Junior

Heinisch

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R3.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

8 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

13/16 fights

Chin rating based on

7/19 fights

Junior

Heinisch

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

Last 5

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Junior

Heinisch

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

71%

33%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Junior

Heinisch

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.2

6.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.6

4.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.1

7.1

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.6

3.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.2

Junior

Strike Zones

Heinisch

Junior

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

20 absorbed

Heinisch

Attacking

20 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Junior targets the head (75% of attacks) — Heinisch absorbs 75% of strikes there

🎯Heinisch targets the head (75% of attacks) — Junior absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Junior

RND

Heinisch

0/0R00/0

Junior · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Brad Tavares

Decision

UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01

L · Dec · R3

Uriah Hall

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09

L · Dec · R3

Ian Heinisch

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

W · Sub · R1

Tim Boetsch

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

W · Sub · R1

Jack Marshman

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10

Heinisch · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Nassourdine Imavov

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07

L · Dec · R3

Kelvin Gastelum

Decision

UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02

W · KO · R1

Gerald Meerschaert

KO/TKO

UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06

L · Dec · R3

Omari Akhmedov

Decision

UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12

L · Dec · R3

Derek Brunson

Decision

UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08

News & Media

Antonio Carlos Junior · Ian Heinisch

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