METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Official Result
Nate DiazwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Neer · UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Neer has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diaz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Diaz throws more volume but Neer connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Neer has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiazNeer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diaz
Neer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
72"
41+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Diaz
Neer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.3
18.1
53.4
Performance Avg
39.5
50
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
100
Diaz
Neer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
3
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch5
9Ground1
Diaz
Neer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.8
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diaz
Neer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/35 fights
Chin rating based on
15/52 fights
Diaz
Neer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Diaz
Neer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
10
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Neer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
5.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
6.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
DiazNeer
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedNeer
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (64% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Neer targets the head (86% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Neer
0/0R00/0
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Neer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Diaz · Last 5
W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonRating 5.9Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.8UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorRating 7.5Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
Neer · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiRating 4.2UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10