METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Brasilia, Brazil
14 Mar 2020
Welterweight
VS
76%
Santos
24%
Kunchenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 45
★ Official Result
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Aleksei Kunchenko · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Santos is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SantosKunchenko
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Santos
Kunchenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
70"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Kunchenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.3
14.2
49.3
Performance Avg
35.0
39
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
56
Santos
Kunchenko
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
1.5
5.7
Style: Volume
9.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
8
3
Body
5
6
Leg
8
RangeRange
16Distance19
1Clinch2
2Ground0
Santos
Kunchenko
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Kunchenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/35 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Santos
Kunchenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Santos
Kunchenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Kunchenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
SantosKunchenko
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedKunchenko
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (53% of attacks) — Kunchenko absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Kunchenko targets the head (38% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Kunchenko
0/0R00/0
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
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Zachary ScrogginKO/TKO
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Randy BrownDecision
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Upcoming
Rinat FakhretdinovDecision
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Kunchenko · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesDecision
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