UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller
Atlantic City, USA
16 Jul 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
31%
Duke
69%
Smith
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:24
JD
Jessamyn Duke
"The Gun"
3 – 5
5'11"73" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 9
LS
Leslie Smith
"The Peacemaker"
10 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak43 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'9"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Smith

Smith holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Duke has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Striking split: Smith throws more volume but Duke connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Duke
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
66"
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duke
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.9
19.4
25.0
Performance Avg
47.6
25
Quality of Victory
41
17
Momentum Score
79
Duke
Smith
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
3.1
53%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
21
5
Body
8
5
Leg
7
RangeRange
14Distance18
2Clinch18
0Ground0
Duke
Smith
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Duke
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/8 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Duke
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
79
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
Duke
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Duke
Smith
Striking0.5 / 6.1Volume8.5 / 5.1Grappling2.4 / 1.2Wrestling1.7 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Duke
Strike Zones
Smith
Duke
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY5LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD8BODY7LEGS36 absorbed
Smith
Attacking
21HEAD8BODY7LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY5LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Duke targets the head (38% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (58% of attacks) — Duke absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Duke
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Duke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L2013-112014-042014-072015-07
WinLossTrend

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.0W4.8L4.5W1.5L5.3W6.3W2014-042014-112016-052017-07
WinLossTrend

Duke · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Elizabeth PhillipsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Leslie SmithRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Bethe CorreiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Peggy MorganRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11

Smith · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Amanda LemosRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Cristiane JustinoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Rin NakaiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · R2
Jessica EyeRating 4.8
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11

News & Media

Jessamyn Duke · Leslie Smith
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