★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 23 Light Heavyweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2016
Ultimate Fighter 23 Light Heavyweight Tournament
VS
30%
Sanchez
70%
Jr.
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AS
Andrew Sanchez
"El Dirte"
13 – 7
6'1"74" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
Khalil
Khalil Rountree Jr.
15 – 7
Striker36 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'1"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jr.

Jr. is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Jr. throws more volume but Sanchez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Sanchez's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jr. has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Sanchez
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
+76"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Sanchez
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
53.7
48.2
Performance Avg
52.0
47
Quality of Victory
48
43
Momentum Score
77
Sanchez
Jr.
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch1
6Ground3
Sanchez
Jr.
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sanchez
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Sanchez
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
77
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Sanchez
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
70%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sanchez
Jr.
Striking3.0 / 8.2Volume7.4 / 3.6Grappling1.9 / 0.7Wrestling1.3 / 0.5Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.9 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Sanchez
Strike Zones
Jr.
Sanchez
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Jr.
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (88% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sanchez
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0

Sanchez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.4W4.5W5.2L4.0L4.5W4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0L5.3L2016-072017-122019-102021-10
WinLossTrend

Jr. · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L2.5L5.0W5.7W5.0W2.3L5.3W1.8L5.9L6.1W5.2W5.9W5.3W6.7W5.5L5.8W5.7L2016-072018-112022-032025-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Sanchez · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · KO · R1
Wellington TurmanRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05

Jr. · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Alex PereiraRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

News & Media

Andrew Sanchez · Khalil Rountree Jr.
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