UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
23 Oct 2021
Lightweight
VS
63%
Dawson
37%
Glenn
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Grant
Grant Dawson
"KGD"
24 – 3
5'10"72" reachSwitch32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 64
Ricky
Ricky Glenn
"The Gladiator"
22 – 9
Well-Rounded3-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw70" reach6'0"
CFR 38

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dawson

Dawson holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Glenn has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Glenn throws more volume but Dawson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Dawson's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Glenn has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dawson
Glenn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"+
Reach
70"
32+
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Dawson
Glenn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.1
37.7
57.5
Performance Avg
36.2
39
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
65
Dawson
Glenn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
18
1
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch1
0Ground19
Dawson
Glenn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
4.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dawson
Glenn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
48
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/31 fights
Dawson
Glenn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Dawson
Glenn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dawson
Glenn
Striking3.4 / 3.3Volume5.0 / 6.8Grappling4.3 / 1.8Wrestling3.0 / 1.3Submission4.2 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Dawson
Strike Zones
Glenn
Dawson
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD5BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Glenn
Attacking
18HEAD5BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dawson targets the body (100% of attacks) — Glenn absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Glenn targets the head (78% of attacks) — Dawson absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dawson
RND
Glenn
0/0R00/0

Dawson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.7W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.6W5.9W5.7W4.5W2.2L5.2W6.0W5.5W3.6L6.1W2019-032021-032023-102025-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Glenn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.6W1.7L2.7L5.9L2016-092017-122021-062024-08
WinLossTrend

Dawson · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Diego FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R2
Rafa GarciaRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

Glenn · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Song KenanRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
L · KO · R1
Christos GiagosRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Upcoming
Grant Dawson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Joaquim SilvaRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06

News & Media

Grant Dawson · Ricky Glenn
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