METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
11 Nov 2023
Lightweight
VS
36%
Frevola
64%
Denis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:31
★ Official Result
Benoit Saint DeniswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:31
def. Matt Frevola · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Denis
→
Actual result
Denis wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Denis holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Frevola has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Frevola's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Denis has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FrevolaDenis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Frevola
Denis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
36
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Frevola
Denis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.6
68.7
45.8
Performance Avg
60.2
46
Quality of Victory
54
20
Momentum Score
91
Frevola
Denis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.9
/ 10
6.9
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
9.1
4.1
Style: Volume
1.4
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
3
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance4
1Clinch0
0Ground2
Frevola
Denis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Frevola
Denis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Frevola
Denis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Frevola
Denis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Frevola
Denis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.1
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.4
FrevolaDenis
Strike Zones
Frevola
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedDenis
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Frevola targets the body (60% of attacks) — Denis absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Denis targets the head (50% of attacks) — Frevola absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Frevola
RND
Denis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Frevola · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyle NelsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R3
Fares ZiamKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · KO · R1
Benoit Saint DenisKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Denis · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettSubmission
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W · KO · R2
Dan HookerKO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushKO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Mauricio RuffySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Kyle PrepolecSubmission
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