UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
11 Nov 2023
Lightweight
VS
35%
Frevola
65%
Denis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:31
Matt
Matt Frevola
"The SteamRolla"
11 – 6
5'9"71" reachOrthodox35 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 39
Benoit
Benoit Saint Denis
"God of War"
17 – 3
Knockout Artist4-fight win streak30 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'11"
CFR 71

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Denis

Denis holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Frevola has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Denis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Frevola's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Frevola
Denis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
35
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Frevola
Denis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.6
70.9
45.8
Performance Avg
62.5
46
Quality of Victory
54
20
Momentum Score
91
Frevola
Denis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
60%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
3
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance4
1Clinch0
0Ground2
Frevola
Denis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Frevola
Denis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Frevola
Denis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Frevola
Denis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Frevola
Denis
Striking6.9 / 7.1Volume4.1 / 1.5Grappling1.0 / 3.6Wrestling0.7 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 4.4Pressure5.6 / 9.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.3
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.5
Frevola
Strike Zones
Denis
Frevola
Attacking
2HEAD3BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Denis
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD3BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Frevola targets the body (60% of attacks) — Denis absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Denis targets the head (50% of attacks) — Frevola absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Frevola
RND
Denis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Frevola · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L5.7W4.5W7.1L3.0L5.0W5.8W6.2W3.3L5.2L5.6L2018-012021-012022-112024-092025-10
WinLossTrend

Denis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.0L5.2W5.7W5.4W5.5W5.2W3.4L5.1L5.2W6.9W6.0W6.1W2021-102023-072024-032025-092026-01
WinLossTrend

Frevola · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kyle NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R3
Fares ZiamRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · KO · R1
Benoit Saint DenisRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

Denis · Last 5

Upcoming
Paddy Pimblett
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Mauricio RuffyRating 6.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

News & Media

Matt Frevola · Benoit Saint Denis
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