UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
28%
Modafferi
72%
Araujo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RM
Roxanne Modafferi
"The Happy Warrior"
25 – 21
5'7"69" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
Viviane
Viviane Araujo
"Vivi"
13 – 7
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'4"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Araujo

Araujo is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Modafferi throws more volume but Araujo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Modafferi
Araujo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
69"+
Reach
68"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Modafferi
Araujo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
49.0
34.7
Performance Avg
38.7
36
Quality of Victory
29
15
Momentum Score
84
Modafferi
Araujo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
31%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
19
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance19
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Modafferi
Araujo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Modafferi
Araujo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/46 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Modafferi
Araujo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
84
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Modafferi
Araujo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
14%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Modafferi
Araujo
Striking3.2 / 2.5Volume6.7 / 7.9Grappling1.8 / 2.1Wrestling1.3 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.8 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Modafferi
Strike Zones
Araujo
Modafferi
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD1BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Araujo
Attacking
19HEAD1BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Modafferi targets the head (92% of attacks) — Araujo absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Araujo targets the head (95% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 95% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Modafferi
RND
Araujo
0/0R00/0

Modafferi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.1L5.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5W6.3L4.9W6.2L5.7L6.7L2013-112018-112020-012021-012022-02
WinLossTrend

Araujo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.8L4.9W6.7L5.6L4.5W7.0L5.7W6.2L2019-052021-012023-032025-06
WinLossTrend

Modafferi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

Araujo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

News & Media

Roxanne Modafferi · Viviane Araujo
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