METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
28%
Modafferi
72%
Araujo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RM
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Viviane AraujowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Roxanne Modafferi · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Araujo
→
Actual result
Araujo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Araujo is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ModafferiAraujo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Modafferi
Araujo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
69"+
Reach
68"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Modafferi
Araujo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
49.0
34.7
Performance Avg
38.7
36
Quality of Victory
29
15
Momentum Score
84
Modafferi
Araujo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
2.8
Style: Pressure
2.6
6.7
Style: Volume
7.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
19
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance19
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Modafferi
Araujo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Modafferi
Araujo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/46 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Modafferi
Araujo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
84
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Modafferi
Araujo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
14%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Modafferi
Araujo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
ModafferiAraujo
Strike Zones
Modafferi
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedAraujo
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Modafferi targets the head (92% of attacks) — Araujo absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Araujo targets the head (95% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Modafferi
RND
Araujo
0/0R00/0
Modafferi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillDecision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Taila SantosDecision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
Araujo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasDecision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03