UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
Sydney, Australia
2 Mar 2012
Middleweight
VS
59%
Noke
41%
Craig
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KN
Kyle Noke
22 – 10
6'1"76" reachSouthpaw46 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
AC
Andrew Craig
"Highlight"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Noke

This is a genuine toss-up — Noke at 59% vs Craig at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Noke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Noke has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Noke's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Craig has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Noke
Craig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
46
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Noke
Craig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
13.6
50.4
Performance Avg
38.1
51
Quality of Victory
35
59
Momentum Score
35
Noke
Craig
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
53%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
12
3
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Noke
Craig
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Noke
Craig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Noke
Craig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Noke
Craig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Noke
Craig
Striking6.0 / 4.2Volume2.3 / 6.2Grappling3.1 / 1.6Wrestling2.1 / 1.1Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Noke
Strike Zones
Craig
Noke
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Craig
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Noke targets the head (38% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Craig targets the head (86% of attacks) — Noke absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Noke
RND
Craig
0/0R00/0

Noke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.2W5.0W1.7L5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L2.8L5.5L2010-062011-082014-042016-012016-11
WinLossTrend

Craig · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.5L2.8L2012-032013-012013-102015-07
WinLossTrend

Noke · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Keita NakamuraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Peter SobottaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonavin WebbRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05

Craig · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Lyman GoodRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke BarnattRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Chris LebenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01

News & Media

Kyle Noke · Andrew Craig
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