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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
Sydney, Australia
2 Mar 2012
Middleweight
VS
59%
Noke
41%
Craig
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KN
Kyle Noke
2210
6'1"76" reachSouthpaw46 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
AC
Andrew Craig
"Highlight"
94
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Andrew CraigwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kyle Noke · UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Noke
Actual result
Craig wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Noke at 59% vs Craig at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Noke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Risk flags

Noke's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Craig has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
NokeCraig
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Noke
Craig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
46
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Noke
Craig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
13.6
50.4
Performance Avg
38.1
51
Quality of Victory
35
59
Momentum Score
35
Noke
Craig
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
3.6
2.3
Style: Volume
6.2
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
12
3
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Noke
Craig
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Noke
Craig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
12/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Noke
Craig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Noke
Craig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Noke
Craig
Striking6.0 / 4.2Volume2.3 / 6.2Grappling3.1 / 1.6Wrestling2.1 / 1.1Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Noke
Strike Zones
Craig
Noke
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Craig
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Noke targets the head (38% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Craig targets the head (86% of attacks) — Noke absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Noke
RND
Craig
0/0R00/0

Noke · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari Akhmedov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Keita Nakamura
Submission
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alex Morono
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Peter Sobotta
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonavin Webb
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05

Craig · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Lyman Good
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Cezar Ferreira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke Barnatt
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Chris Leben
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny Markes
Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01

News & Media

Kyle Noke · Andrew Craig
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