METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
Sydney, Australia
2 Mar 2012
Middleweight
VS
59%
Noke
41%
Craig
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Andrew CraigwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kyle Noke · UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Noke
→
Actual result
Craig wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Noke at 59% vs Craig at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Noke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Noke has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Noke's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Craig has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NokeCraig
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Noke
Craig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
46
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Noke
Craig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.5
13.6
50.4
Performance Avg
38.1
51
Quality of Victory
35
59
Momentum Score
35
Noke
Craig
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.1
53%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
12
3
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Noke
Craig
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Noke
Craig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Noke
Craig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Noke
Craig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Noke
Craig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
NokeCraig
Strike Zones
Noke
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedCraig
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Noke targets the head (38% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Craig targets the head (86% of attacks) — Noke absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Noke
RND
Craig
0/0R00/0
Noke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Craig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Noke · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Keita NakamuraRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Peter SobottaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonavin WebbRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
Craig · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyman GoodRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Stephens · 2014-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke BarnattRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Chris LebenRating 4.5Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01