METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Philadelphia, USA
30 Mar 2019
Middleweight
VS
18%
Branch
82%
Hermansson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:49
★ Official Result
Jack HermanssonwinsSubmissionR1 · 0:49
def. David Branch · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hermansson
→
Actual result
Hermansson wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Hermansson is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Branch's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hermansson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BranchHermansson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Branch
Hermansson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
77"
44
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Branch
Hermansson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.9
53.8
38.0
Performance Avg
48.1
34
Quality of Victory
42
36
Momentum Score
97
Branch
Hermansson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
5.6
6.9
Style: Volume
4.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Branch
Hermansson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Branch
Hermansson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/28 fights
Chin rating based on
19/34 fights
Branch
Hermansson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
97
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Branch
Hermansson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
55%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Branch
Hermansson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
BranchHermansson
Strike Zones
Branch
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedHermansson
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Branch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hermansson targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Branch absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Branch
RND
Hermansson
0/0R00/0
Branch · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jack HermanssonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierKO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Luke RockholdKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoDecision
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
Hermansson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07