UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Philadelphia, USA
30 Mar 2019
Middleweight
VS
18%
Branch
82%
Hermansson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:49
DB
David Branch
22 – 6
6'1"78" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 12
Jack
Jack Hermansson
"The Joker"
24 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hermansson

Hermansson is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hermansson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Branch's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hermansson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Branch
Hermansson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
77"
44
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Branch
Hermansson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.9
53.8
38.0
Performance Avg
48.1
34
Quality of Victory
42
36
Momentum Score
97
Branch
Hermansson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
2.1
38%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Branch
Hermansson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Branch
Hermansson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/28 fights
Chin rating based on
19/34 fights
Branch
Hermansson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
97
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Branch
Hermansson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
55%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Branch
Hermansson
Striking3.4 / 3.9Volume6.9 / 4.8Grappling1.8 / 3.3Wrestling1.3 / 2.3Submission0.0 / 2.7Pressure3.1 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Branch
Strike Zones
Hermansson
Branch
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Hermansson
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Branch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hermansson targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Branch absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Branch
RND
Hermansson
0/0R00/0

Branch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.0L4.5W4.5W2.8L4.5W2.1L5.0W3.7L2.4L2010-072011-032018-042019-03
WinLossTrend

Hermansson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W6.1W5.0W4.5W3.1L5.3W6.3L5.9W6.6L5.2W4.2L6.5W3.1L3.1L2016-092018-052020-072022-122025-11
WinLossTrend

Branch · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 2.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Luke RockholdRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05

Hermansson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07

News & Media

David Branch · Jack Hermansson
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