UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos
Zagreb, Croatia
10 Apr 2016
Heavyweight
VS
74%
Cannonier
26%
Asker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cannonier
Cannonier is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Asker throws more volume but Cannonier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cannonier's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Asker has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cannonier
Asker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
42
Age
+40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Cannonier
Asker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
18.8
49.3
Performance Avg
48.9
46
Quality of Victory
55
82
Momentum Score
59
Cannonier
Asker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.5
56%
Strike Accuracy
34%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
10
9
Body
3
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance12
4Clinch1
6Ground0
Cannonier
Asker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.9
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cannonier
Asker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
34
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Cannonier
Asker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
59
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Cannonier
Asker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cannonier
Asker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
CannonierAsker
Strike Zones
Cannonier
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedAsker
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cannonier targets the head (56% of attacks) — Asker absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Asker targets the head (77% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cannonier
RND
Asker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cannonier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Asker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Cannonier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
Asker · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Sub · R2
Hu YaozongRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Walt HarrisRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
W · KO · R1
Dmitrii SmoliakovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04