★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Miami, USA
11 Apr 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Prochazka
52%
Ulberg
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:45
Jiri
Jiri Prochazka
326
6'3"80" reachOrthodox33 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 68
Carlos
Carlos Ulberg
"Black Jag"
151
Knockout Artist10-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 74

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ulberg

This is a genuine toss-up — Prochazka at 48% vs Ulberg at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Ulberg throws more volume but Prochazka connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Prochazka's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Prochazka
Ulberg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
80"+
Reach
77"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Prochazka
Ulberg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.4
73.9
60.9
Performance Avg
68.2
57
Quality of Victory
53
98
Momentum Score
100
Prochazka
Ulberg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
3.5
64%
Strike Accuracy
58%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
21
1
Body
1
7
Leg
5
RangeRange
14Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground11
Prochazka
Ulberg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Prochazka
Ulberg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
9/38 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Prochazka
Ulberg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
100
Current form
10-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Prochazka
Ulberg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Prochazka
Ulberg
Striking9.7 / 7.8Volume1.3 / 4.2Grappling1.3 / 1.5Wrestling0.9 / 1.1Submission1.7 / 1.0Pressure9.0 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
9.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
1.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Prochazka
Strike Zones
Ulberg
Prochazka
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY7LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD1BODY5LEGS27 absorbed
Ulberg
Attacking
21HEAD1BODY5LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY7LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Prochazka targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ulberg targets the head (78% of attacks) — Prochazka absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Prochazka
RND
Ulberg
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Prochazka · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.0W6.2W5.9W4.2L5.4W4.2L6.8W6.4W3.4L2020-072023-112025-012026-04
WinLossTrend

Ulberg · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.0L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W6.1W5.9W5.3W5.1W6.0W6.7W2021-032022-112024-052025-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Prochazka · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R3
Jamahal HillRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Ulberg · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Jiri Prochazka · Carlos Ulberg
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