★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Miami, USA
11 Apr 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Prochazka
52%
Ulberg
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ulberg
This is a genuine toss-up — Prochazka at 48% vs Ulberg at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Ulberg throws more volume but Prochazka connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Prochazka's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Prochazka
Ulberg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
80"+
Reach
77"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Prochazka
Ulberg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.4
73.9
60.9
Performance Avg
68.2
57
Quality of Victory
53
98
Momentum Score
100
Prochazka
Ulberg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
3.5
64%
Strike Accuracy
58%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
21
1
Body
1
7
Leg
5
RangeRange
14Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground11
Prochazka
Ulberg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Prochazka
Ulberg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/38 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Prochazka
Ulberg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
100
Current form
10-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Prochazka
Ulberg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Prochazka
Ulberg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
9.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
1.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
ProchazkaUlberg
Strike Zones
Prochazka
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedUlberg
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Prochazka targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ulberg targets the head (78% of attacks) — Prochazka absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Prochazka
RND
Ulberg
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Prochazka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Ulberg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Prochazka · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R3
Jamahal HillRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Ulberg · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

