METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
St. Louis, USA
11 May 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
42%
Menifield
58%
Ulberg
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:12
★ Official Result
Carlos UlbergwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:12
def. Alonzo Menifield · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ulberg
→
Actual result
Ulberg wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Menifield at 42% vs Ulberg at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Menifield's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MenifieldUlberg
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Menifield
Ulberg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+77"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Menifield
Ulberg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.9
73.9
53.3
Performance Avg
68.2
46
Quality of Victory
53
75
Momentum Score
100
Menifield
Ulberg
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
7.8
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
7.6
4.2
Style: Volume
4.2
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Menifield
Ulberg
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Menifield
Ulberg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Menifield
Ulberg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
100
Current form
10-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Menifield
Ulberg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Menifield
Ulberg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
MenifieldUlberg
Strike Zones
Menifield
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedUlberg
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Menifield targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ulberg targets the head (100% of attacks) — Menifield absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Menifield
RND
Ulberg
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Menifield · Last 5
Upcoming
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UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05