UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
St. Louis, USA
11 May 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
42%
Menifield
58%
Ulberg
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:12
Alonzo
Alonzo Menifield
"Atomic"
17 – 6
6'0"76" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Carlos
Carlos Ulberg
"Black Jag"
15 – 1
Knockout Artist10-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 74

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ulberg

This is a genuine toss-up — Menifield at 42% vs Ulberg at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ulberg has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Menifield's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Menifield
Ulberg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+77"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Menifield
Ulberg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.6
73.9
51.6
Performance Avg
68.2
44
Quality of Victory
53
75
Momentum Score
100
Menifield
Ulberg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
3.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
58%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Menifield
Ulberg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Menifield
Ulberg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Menifield
Ulberg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
100
Current form
10-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Menifield
Ulberg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
70%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Menifield
Ulberg
Striking5.3 / 7.8Volume4.5 / 4.2Grappling2.6 / 1.5Wrestling1.8 / 1.1Submission2.0 / 1.0Pressure6.1 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Menifield
Strike Zones
Ulberg
Menifield
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Ulberg
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Menifield targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ulberg targets the head (100% of attacks) — Menifield absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Menifield
RND
Ulberg
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Menifield · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.7W5.5L3.3L5.0W4.7W5.5L5.0W5.0W6.8W5.9W3.4L4.6L4.5W5.5W2.3L2019-012021-032022-102024-082025-11
WinLossTrend

Ulberg · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.0L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W6.1W5.9W5.3W5.1W6.0W6.7W2021-032022-112024-052025-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Menifield · Last 5

Upcoming
Zhang Mingyang
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Oumar SyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Julius WalkerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · KO · R2
Azamat MurzakanovRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

Ulberg · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Alonzo Menifield · Carlos Ulberg
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