UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Glasgow, United Kingdom
16 Jul 2017
Lightweight
VS
67%
Henry
33%
Teymur
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Henry
Henry holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Teymur has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Henry has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Henry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Teymur has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Henry
Teymur
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'5"
73"+
Reach
69"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Henry
Teymur
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
8.2
43.7
Performance Avg
23.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
49
Momentum Score
20
Henry
Teymur
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
0.5
65%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
2
10
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance2
1Clinch0
17Ground0
Henry
Teymur
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Henry
Teymur
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/16 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Henry
Teymur
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Henry
Teymur
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henry
Teymur
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
HenryTeymur
Strike Zones
Henry
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTeymur
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henry targets the head (68% of attacks) — Teymur absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Teymur targets the head (100% of attacks) — Henry absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henry
RND
Teymur
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Henry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Teymur · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Henry · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 1.6Submission
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
L · Sub · R1
Dan IgeRating 2.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
W · Sub · R1
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel TeymurRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
Teymur · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Sung Bin JoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · Sub · R2
Chris FishgoldRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Sub · R3
Julio ArceRating 4.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny HenryRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07