UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Bantamweight
VS
95%
Phillips
5%
Rojo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Phillips
Phillips is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Phillips has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 33 points.
Striking split: Phillips throws more volume but Rojo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rojo has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Phillips
Rojo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
71"
30+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Phillips
Rojo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
2.6
44.0
Performance Avg
0.0
33
Quality of Victory
0
58
Momentum Score
0
Phillips
Rojo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
38%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Phillips
Rojo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Phillips
Rojo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
44
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/26 fights
Phillips
Rojo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Phillips
Rojo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Phillips
Rojo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PhillipsRojo
Strike Zones
Phillips
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedRojo
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Phillips targets the head (75% of attacks) — Rojo absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Rojo targets the head (60% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Phillips
RND
Rojo
0/0R00/0
Phillips · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Rojo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Phillips · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
Rojo · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Francis MarshallRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Sub · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 4.7Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · KO · R3
Charles JourdainRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03