UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Women's Bantamweight
VS
57%
Vieira
43%
Kianzad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vieira
This is a genuine toss-up — Vieira at 57% vs Kianzad at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kianzad has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kianzad has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vieira
Kianzad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
68"+
Reach
66"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vieira
Kianzad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.2
31.7
43.7
Performance Avg
33.2
28
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
45
Vieira
Kianzad
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
2.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
12
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
1Clinch0
2Ground12
Vieira
Kianzad
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Vieira
Kianzad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
68
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Vieira
Kianzad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Vieira
Kianzad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
10%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vieira
Kianzad
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.4
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
VieiraKianzad
Strike Zones
Vieira
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedKianzad
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vieira targets the head (67% of attacks) — Kianzad absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Kianzad targets the head (86% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vieira
RND
Kianzad
0/0R00/0
Vieira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Kianzad · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Vieira · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Kayla HarrisonRating 7.6Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Kianzad · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Macy ChiassonRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

