METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Las Vegas, USA
27 Apr 2024
Flyweight
VS
39%
Nicolau
61%
Perez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:16
★ Official Result
Alex PerezwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:16
def. Matheus Nicolau · UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Perez
→
Actual result
Perez wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Perez holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Nicolau has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Nicolau's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Perez has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NicolauPerez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nicolau
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"+
Reach
65"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nicolau
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.0
59.7
44.7
Performance Avg
51.2
32
Quality of Victory
50
49
Momentum Score
100
Nicolau
Perez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
6.8
7.0
Style: Volume
3.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
7
2
Body
4
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
12Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nicolau
Perez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nicolau
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
16
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/25 fights
Chin rating based on
16/36 fights
Nicolau
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
Nicolau
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nicolau
Perez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
NicolauPerez
Strike Zones
Nicolau
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedPerez
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nicolau targets the head (58% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the head (47% of attacks) — Nicolau absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nicolau
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nicolau · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Asu AlmabayevDecision
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L · KO · R2
Alex PerezKO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Brandon RoyvalKO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Matt SchnellKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
David DvorakDecision
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Perez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
SumudaerjiDecision
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Upcoming
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W · KO · R1
Charles JohnsonKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R3
Asu AlmabayevSubmission
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L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaKO/TKO
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