METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2011
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Bowles
48%
Mizugaki
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brian BowleswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Takeya Mizugaki · UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bowles
→
Actual result
Bowles wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bowles at 52% vs Mizugaki at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bowles has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Mizugaki has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bowles's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mizugaki has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BowlesMizugaki
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bowles
Mizugaki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bowles
Mizugaki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
16.4
43.7
Performance Avg
40.1
40
Quality of Victory
29
71
Momentum Score
98
Bowles
Mizugaki
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.4
31%
Strike Accuracy
38%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
6
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
6Clinch0
0Ground0
Bowles
Mizugaki
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bowles
Mizugaki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
18
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Bowles
Mizugaki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Bowles
Mizugaki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
13%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bowles
Mizugaki
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
BowlesMizugaki
Strike Zones
Bowles
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMizugaki
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bowles targets the body (86% of attacks) — Mizugaki absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Mizugaki targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bowles absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bowles
RND
Mizugaki
0/0R00/0
Bowles · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Mizugaki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Bowles · Last 4
L · KO · R2
George RoopRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberRating 2.8Submission
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
W · Sub · R1
Damacio PageRating 5Submission
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
Mizugaki · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Eddie WinelandRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
George RoopRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Dominick CruzRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09