METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2011
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Bowles
48%
Mizugaki
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BB
Brian Bowles
103
5'7"70" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
TM
Takeya Mizugaki
2111
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Brian BowleswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Takeya Mizugaki · UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bowles
Actual result
Bowles wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Bowles at 52% vs Mizugaki at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bowles has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Risk flags

Bowles's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Mizugaki has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BowlesMizugaki
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Bowles
Mizugaki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bowles
Mizugaki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
16.4
43.7
Performance Avg
40.1
40
Quality of Victory
29
71
Momentum Score
98
Bowles
Mizugaki
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
2.6
5.0
Style: Volume
8.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
6
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
6Clinch0
0Ground0
Bowles
Mizugaki
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bowles
Mizugaki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
18
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Bowles
Mizugaki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Bowles
Mizugaki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
13%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bowles
Mizugaki
Striking1.0 / 2.4Volume5.0 / 8.1Grappling5.2 / 2.1Wrestling3.6 / 1.5Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
Bowles
Strike Zones
Mizugaki
Bowles
Attacking
1HEAD6BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Mizugaki
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD6BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bowles targets the body (86% of attacks) — Mizugaki absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Mizugaki targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bowles absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bowles
RND
Mizugaki
0/0R00/0

Bowles · Last 4

L · KO · R2
George Roop
KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
L · Sub · R2
Urijah Faber
Submission
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Takeya Mizugaki
Decision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
W · Sub · R1
Damacio Page
Submission
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03

Mizugaki · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Eddie Wineland
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Cody Garbrandt
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
George Roop
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Aljamain Sterling
Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Dominick Cruz
KO/TKO
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09

News & Media

Brian Bowles · Takeya Mizugaki
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