UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders
Belem, Brazil
3 Feb 2018
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Andrade
57%
Vera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Douglas
Douglas Silva de Andrade
"D Silva"
29 – 7
5'7"68" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 38
Marlon
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
23 – 12
Well-Rounded4-fight slide33 yrsSwitch70" reach5'8"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vera

This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 43% vs Vera at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Vera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Andrade's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Andrade
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Andrade
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.4
51.4
42.2
Performance Avg
50.4
37
Quality of Victory
46
28
Momentum Score
39
Andrade
Vera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.7
39%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
11
8
Body
13
6
Leg
7
RangeRange
40Distance30
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Andrade
Vera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
78
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/36 fights
Chin rating based on
26/35 fights
Andrade
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Andrade
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
73%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Andrade
Vera
Striking3.9 / 5.8Volume5.6 / 3.3Grappling2.5 / 2.8Wrestling1.8 / 1.9Submission1.4 / 2.7Pressure4.5 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Andrade
Strike Zones
Vera
Andrade
Attacking
26HEAD8BODY6LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD13BODY7LEGS31 absorbed
Vera
Attacking
11HEAD13BODY7LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD8BODY6LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (65% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the body (42% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 42% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Andrade
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0106.0L4.7W5.5W4.0L5.3W4.3L4.5W7.0L5.0W5.2W6.9L4.5W5.5L3.9L2014-022018-022021-102024-062026-02
WinLossTrend

Vera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L5.2W6.3L4.5W5.5W5.3W5.5L5.7L5.2W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.5W6.8L6.5W6.0L5.3W5.5W5.7W5.4W7.0L5.0W7.0L6.6L6.6L7.2L2014-112018-022020-082023-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Andrade · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Javier ReyesRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Sergey MorozovRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02

Vera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

News & Media

Douglas Silva de Andrade · Marlon Vera
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