UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2022
Lightweight
VS
49%
Johnson
51%
Mullarkey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mullarkey
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 49% vs Mullarkey at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Mullarkey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mullarkey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Johnson
Mullarkey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Mullarkey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
38.1
42.5
Performance Avg
40.0
38
Quality of Victory
36
35
Momentum Score
51
Johnson
Mullarkey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
39%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
20
11
Body
7
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
30Distance31
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Johnson
Mullarkey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Mullarkey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/45 fights
Chin rating based on
13/27 fights
Johnson
Mullarkey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
51
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Johnson
Mullarkey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
33%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Mullarkey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
JohnsonMullarkey
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedMullarkey
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (63% of attacks) — Mullarkey absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Mullarkey targets the head (65% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Mullarkey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Mullarkey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
Mullarkey · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Nasrat HaqparastRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 4.5Decision
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